Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.048198 0.055185 0.062456 0.070557 0.079299 0.088422 0.098632
2025-03-23 0.038315 0.048685 0.060155 0.073637 0.088909 0.105542 0.124893
2025-03-30 0.031241 0.043558 0.057918 0.075548 0.096278 0.119576 0.147440
2025-04-06 0.026888 0.040658 0.057442 0.078784 0.104615 0.134340 0.170608
2025-04-13 0.022043 0.036315 0.054523 0.078487 0.108298 0.143353 0.186903
2025-04-20 0.020433 0.035882 0.056256 0.083723 0.118531 0.160056 0.212251
2025-04-27 0.016610 0.031847 0.052854 0.082067 0.119962 0.165978 0.224643
2025-05-04 0.014907 0.030607 0.052993 0.084841 0.126846 0.178486 0.244967
2025-05-11 0.012455 0.027870 0.050773 0.084242 0.129240 0.185341 0.258357
2025-05-18 0.011176 0.026811 0.050807 0.086596 0.135405 0.196886 0.277539
2025-05-25 0.009903 0.025572 0.050437 0.088290 0.140641 0.207245 0.295283
2025-06-01 0.007940 0.022791 0.047479 0.086112 0.140536 0.210676 0.304291
2025-06-08 0.005988 0.019737 0.043965 0.083149 0.139549 0.213312 0.312849
2025-06-15 0.005362 0.019243 0.044566 0.086295 0.147080 0.227223 0.336012
2025-06-22 0.004633 0.018380 0.044460 0.088338 0.153086 0.239194 0.356820
2025-06-29 0.004210 0.018123 0.045350 0.091893 0.161250 0.254086 0.381496
2025-07-06 0.003348 0.016573 0.043809 0.091561 0.163815 0.261499 0.396528
2025-07-13 0.003297 0.017130 0.046107 0.097331 0.175220 0.280857 0.427211
2025-07-20 0.002463 0.015264 0.043737 0.095507 0.175534 0.285221 0.438328
2025-07-27 0.002198 0.015003 0.044383 0.098562 0.182993 0.299314 0.462269
2025-08-03 0.001675 0.013691 0.042835 0.097902 0.184910 0.305820 0.476230
2025-08-10 0.001458 0.013367 0.043239 0.100492 0.191675 0.319014 0.499100
2025-08-17 0.001223 0.012871 0.043231 0.102354 0.197342 0.330713 0.520034